Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.317872 4.276573e-01 0.555367 0.712535 0.898383 1.108875 1.362985
2025-11-16 0.181043 3.123476e-01 0.489776 0.735931 1.057573 1.453124 1.965554
2025-11-23 0.096321 2.220015e-01 0.421439 0.731720 1.174099 1.755764 2.551175
2025-11-30 0.058104 1.793404e-01 0.402447 0.784078 1.365768 2.168506 3.308089
2025-12-07 0.032630 1.416497e-01 0.376325 0.815896 1.527237 2.550389 4.048588
2025-12-14 0.016259 1.081410e-01 0.343456 0.826169 1.652590 2.886538 4.743188
2025-12-21 0.006460 7.791608e-02 0.302755 0.810805 1.730989 3.155216 5.353408
2025-12-28 0.002467 6.015943e-02 0.281284 0.824420 1.854334 3.494126 6.075057
2026-01-04 0.000628 4.482801e-02 0.257070 0.825483 1.953082 3.797521 6.754234
2026-01-11 0.000037 3.013309e-02 0.223700 0.797508 1.994302 4.009635 7.303388
2026-01-18 NaN 2.009483e-02 0.197005 0.776756 2.043787 4.234173 7.875958
2026-01-25 NaN 1.435302e-02 0.182029 0.780318 2.138083 4.534241 8.571319
2026-02-01 NaN 8.343983e-03 0.156449 0.750049 2.164643 4.726953 9.115686
2026-02-08 NaN 6.548724e-03 0.154752 0.786786 2.331039 5.164819 10.058108
2026-02-15 NaN 4.149677e-03 0.142531 0.788783 2.424402 5.480435 10.816633
2026-02-22 NaN 3.629337e-03 0.147854 0.847378 2.643253 6.022927 11.950308
2026-03-01 NaN 2.727381e-03 0.146228 0.882771 2.813610 6.485353 12.966016
2026-03-08 NaN 1.705310e-03 0.138259 0.894561 2.932101 6.859177 13.847071
2026-03-15 NaN 7.854309e-04 0.123821 0.878789 2.986302 7.118576 14.547567
2026-03-22 NaN 4.221803e-04 0.118017 0.893434 3.110980 7.509205 15.470352
2026-03-29 NaN 1.668892e-04 0.109529 0.894682 3.203451 7.842661 16.304653
2026-04-05 NaN 2.236631e-05 0.095026 0.865143 3.218680 8.032366 16.903709
2026-04-12 NaN 1.983272e-07 0.083459 0.843204 3.249523 8.251027 17.554440